University of Calgary

ENCI 504 - Uncertainty Concepts in Civil Engineering - Winter 2023

Fundamentals of uncertainty, risk, reliability and decision making in Civil Engineering applications. Probability as a measure of uncertainty based on frequency data, least presumptive methods and use of odds; Bayes' Theorem; known probability distributions and how they apply to civil engineering problems. Advanced topics including applications of extreme value distributions, joint probability distributions and stochastic optimization. Risk as a function of both probability and disutility. Risk analysis through Bayesian Decision Theory.
This course may not be repeated for credit.


  • H(3-1T)


  • Engineering 319 or Digital Engineering 319.


This course will be offered next in Spring 2023.
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